Estimates of Global and Regional Smoking Prevalence in 1995, by Age and Sex
Prabhat Jha, MD, DPhil,
M. Kent Ranson, MD, MPH,
Son N. Nguyen, MD, MPH and
Derek Yach, MB, ChB, MPH
Prabhat Jha is with the World Bank, Washington, DC and the Centre for Health and Development, University of Toronto, Canada. M. Kent Ranson is with the Health Policy Unit, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, England. Son N. Nguyen is with the World Bank, Washington, DC. Derek Yach is with the Non-Communicable Disease and Mental Health Cluster, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to Prabhat Jha, MD, DPhil, Centre for Health and Development, University of Toronto, St. Michael's Hospital Research Institute, 30 Bond St, Toronto, Canada, M5B 1W8 (e-mail: prabhat.jha{at}utoronto.ca).
Objectives. We calculated regional and sex- and age-specificsmoking prevalence estimates worldwide in 1995.
Methods. Sex-specific smoking prevalence data from studies in139 countries and age distribution data from 7 studies wereanalyzed.
Results. Globally, 29% of persons aged 15 years or older wereregular smokers in 1995. Four fifths of the world's 1.1 billionsmokers lived in low- or middle-income countries. East Asiancountries accounted for a disproportionately high percentage(38%) of the world's smokers. Males accounted for four fifthsof all smokers, and prevalence among males and females was highestamong those aged 30 to 49 years (34%).
Conclusions. Future decades will see dramatic increases in tobacco-attributabledeaths in low- and middle-income regions. Although much of thisexcess mortality can be prevented if smokers stop smoking, quittingremains rare in low- and middle-income countries. (Am J PublicHealth. 2002;92:10021006)
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