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© 2005 American Public Health Association
DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2004.039727
RESEARCH AND PRACTICE |
John A. Tauras is with the Department of Economics, University of Illinois at Chicago, and the National Bureau of Economic Research. Frank J. Chaloupka is with the Department of Economics, University of Illinois at Chicago, the University of Illinois at Chicago Health Policy Center, and ImpacTeen: A Policy Research Partnership to Reduce Youth Substance Abuse. Matthew C. Farrelly is with the Public Health Economics and Policy Research Program, Research Triangle Institute. Gary A. Giovino is with the Department of Health Behavior, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, NY. Melanie Wakefield is with the Centre for Behavioural Research in Cancer, The Cancer Council Victoria, Victoria, Australia. Lloyd D. Johnston, Patrick M. O’Malley, and Deborah D. Kloska are with the Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Terry F. Pechacek is with the Office on Smoking and Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Ga.
Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to John A. Tauras, PhD, Department of Economics (m/c 144), University of Illinois at Chicago, 601 South Morgan, Chicago, IL 60607–7121 (e-mail: tauras{at}uic.edu).
Objective. We examined the relationship between state-level tobacco control expenditures and youth smoking prevalence and cigarette consumption.
Methods. We estimated a 2-part model of cigarette demand using data from the 1991 through 2000 nationally representative surveys of 8th-, 10th-, and 12th-grade students as part of the Monitoring the Future project.
Results. We found that real per capita expenditures on tobacco control had a negative and significant impact on youth smoking prevalence and on the average number of cigarettes smoked by smokers.
Conclusions. Had states represented by the Monitoring the Future sample and the District of Columbia spent the minimum amount of money recommended by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the prevalence of smoking among youths would have been between 3.3% and 13.5% lower than the rate we observed over this period.
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