© 2003 American Public Health Association
G. David Batty is with the Epidemiology Unit, Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, England. Martin J. Shipley and Michael G. Marmot are with the Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London. George Davey Smith is with the Division of Epidemiology, Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, England. Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to G. David Batty, PhD, Epidemiology Unit, Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England (e-mail: david.batty{at}lshtm.ac.uk).
Objectives. This study examined the association between leisure time physical activity and cause-specific mortality among male Whitehall Study participants with chronic bronchitis. Methods. Rate ratios were calculated for 4 mortality outcomes, according to level of activity and baseline bronchitis status, in a 25-year follow-up of 6479 men. Results. After multiple adjustment for potential confounding or mediating variables, activity was inversely related to all-cause, cardiovascular, coronary heart disease, and noncardiovascular mortality among men free of chronic bronchitis. Among men with bronchitis, weak, nonsignificant positive associations were observed between activity and these outcomes, with the exception of noncardiovascular mortality. Conclusions. The suggestion of a positive activitymortality association among individuals with chronic bronchitisalbeit weak and nonsignificantrequires further investigation.
The frequently observed inverse association between leisure time physical activity and the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) in cohorts of healthy individuals1,2 has been attributed, in part, to the normalizing effect of activity on a number of CHD risk factors, including body weight and blood pressure.3 Similar acute beneficial effects of physical activity among individuals with chronic diseases, such as type 2 diabetes4,5 and ischemia,6,7 have been revealed and may likewise partially explain the cardioprotective impact of activity observed in long-term follow-ups of these groups.817 There is also evidence suggesting that, among individuals with pulmonary diseases such as bronchitis, exercise programs have a favorable effect on cardiorespiratory fitness, quality of life, and dyspnea.18 The trials on which these findings are based are characterized by small sample sizes, brief follow-up intervals, and multifaceted interventions, which make it difficult to isolate exerciseattributable effects. However, given this apparent short-term beneficial effect of activity, it is plausible that, in keeping with observations involving other subgroups, activity may be associated with reduced longer-term CHD risk in individuals with bronchitis. In the present study, we tested this hypothesis by following a group of British male civil servants who self-reported their chronic bronchitis status and leisure time physical activity patterns on their entry into the Whitehall Study. We compared associations between leisure time physical activity and mortality rates in men with and without bronchitis, allowing us to explore the possibility that this condition may modify the nature of these relationships. We are unaware of any other study reporting on these associations in this group.
Study Participants The Whitehall Study participants were London-based male civil servants who were aged 40 to 64 years when they were examined at study entry between September 1967 and January 1970. Data were collected for 18 403 men, representing a 74% response rate. Participants completed a study questionnaire and underwent a medical examination, both of which have been described in detail elsewhere.19 In brief, the questionnaire included items focusing on civil service employment grade (a marker of socioeconomic position),20 smoking habits,21 intermittent claudication,22,23 angina,22,24 chronic bronchitis,25 and physical activity.26 A calibrated sphygmomanometer (London School of Hygiene)27 was used to record participants blood pressure level via a single reading taken from the left arm. Standardized protocols were used to determine forced expiratory volume in 1 second,28 presence of ischemia,29 fasting plasma cholesterol levels,30 fasting and 2-hour blood glucose levels,26 height,31 and weight.32
Assessment of Leisure Time Physical Activity In a previous article, we reported on the association of this activity index with the mortality experiences of the Whitehall participants33 and the experiences of a subset of the men with type 2 diabetes or impaired glucose tolerance.9 We have also examined the activitymortality relation among the study participants who were administered the unmodified version of the questionnaire, which included an item regarding active travel to work.34 Because the expected relationships between this marker of physical exertion and cause-specific mortality were not as strong as anticipated, and because no associations with known physical activity correlates were apparent, we were unconvinced of the validity of these data. We therefore elected a priori not to examine further the relation of travel activity to mortality among men with chronic bronchitis.
Assessment of Chronic Bronchitis Status
Ascertainment of Mortality
Data Analyses Because we were interested in identifying the independent effect of physical activity, we also adjusted for several mediating variables (e.g., blood pressure, body mass index) in our analyses. Models fitted with a Leisure Activity x Follow-Up Time interaction term confirmed that the proportional hazards assumption was not violated. To determine whether the linear trend across activity levels was the same for respondents with and without bronchitis, we used likelihood ratio statistics to compute tests for interactions that compared the goodness of fit of models that included and did not include interaction terms.
Our results were based on 6479 men with no missing data. During 25 years of follow-up, 140 (75.3%) of the 186 men identified as having chronic bronchitis at baseline died, whereas there were 2660 deaths (42.3%) among the 6293 men who were free of this condition. Associations between physical activity and the mortality end points, according to chronic bronchitis status at study entry, are presented in Table 1 .001); in contrast, weak, nonsignificant positive associations were observed among the group of men with bronchitis. That the nature of the physical activitymortality association differed markedly according to bronchitis status in this age-adjusted analysis was confirmed by the results of the tests assessing interactions involving all-cause (P = .003), CVD (P = .01), CHD (P = .02), and non-CVD (P = .08) mortality.
After adjustment for potentially confounding or mediating variables, the same pattern of association as that seen for the ageadjusted analysis was evident for all endpoints with the exception of non-CVD mortality, in which the suggestion of a positive association with physical activity among men with bronchitis was no longer present. In this fully adjusted analysis, tests for interactions confirmed effect modification according to bronchitis status for all-cause (P = .04), CVD (P = .08), and CHD (P = .09) mortality in relation to physical activity. In our analyses, we adjusted for the potential confounding effect of diagnosed disease; however, among the group of men without bronchitis, undiagnosed disease may be an alternative explanation for the inverse association observed between physical activity and mortality and, hence, the significant interaction statistics. To explore this possibility, we excluded men who died during the first 5 years of follow-up from our analyses, reasoning that most deaths due to undiagnosed disease at baseline would have occurred within this period. Whereas the strength of the association of physical activity with each mortality end point was essentially unchanged in a fully adjusted analysis involving men without bronchitis, the positive association observed among men with this condition was strengthened further, as were the interaction statistics (all-cause mortality, P = .02; CVD mortality, P = .04; CHD mortality, P = .03. After baseline characteristics had been stratified according to chronic bronchitis status, there were noticeable differences in the prevalence of cigarette consumption and ischemia (in both cases, the differences were significant at P < .001), such that the highest prevalence of each was observed among men with this condition. We therefore conducted further analyses of the study sample to determine whether, rather than bronchitis modifying the activitymortality relation, this disorder was acting as a proxy for these other mortality risk factors. When we assessed the relation of leisure time physical activity to all-cause and CHD mortality in a fully adjusted analysis, we found no difference in the association after we stratified the data according to smoking status (nonsmokers vs smokers; interaction P values were .41 for all-cause mortality and .43 for CHD mortality) and ischemia status (electrocardiogram evidence vs no evidence; P values were .88 for all-cause mortality and .27 for CHD mortality).
The main findings of this study were an inverse relation between leisure time physical activity and all-cause, CVD, and CHD mortality among men free of chronic bronchitis and the suggestion of a weak positive association among men with bronchitis. Although the positive relations among the study respondents with bronchitis were not statistically significant at conventional levels, they were nonetheless markedly different from the relations observed among respondents free of the condition, as evidenced by the significance tests for interaction. A number of alternative explanations for the apparent modifying effect of chronic bronchitis on the physical activitymortality relation exist. These explanations include confounding, reverse causality, bronchitis as a proxy for other mortality risk factors; lack of validity of the physical activity data; measurement error; and chance. Although there was some degree of attenuation of risk after adjustment for potentially confounding or mediating variables, most of the associations held, as they did when we excluded men who had died during the first 5 years of follow-up so as to explore the effect of undetected disease at study entry (i.e., reverse causality). In addition, when the baseline data were stratified according to bronchitis status, there were noticeable differences in prevalence of cigarette consumption and ischemia, with the least favorable levels seen in the bronchitis group. It is plausible that one of these characteristics, rather than bronchitis itself, was modifying the activitymortality relationships. However, after stratification by both of these risk factors, there was no evidence that they modified the relation of physical activity to mortality experience. The Whitehall Study assessed leisure time physical activity in the late 1960s, and thus the qualitative index used is simplistic by contemporary standards. However, these data have been shown to be inversely associated with all-cause and CHD mortality,33 as well as mortality due to stroke,36 among disease-free men included in the present analyses. Because these are frequently observed associations,1,2,37,38 the implication is that the present data have a degree of predictive validity. Leisure time physical activity data also were related to age, socioeconomic status and resting heart rate (a physiological consequence of aerobic conditioning) in the expected directions,3941 suggesting a degree of concurrent validity. Accordingly, it is unlikely that the rather crude method used in this study to assess physical activity could explain the suggestion of a positive association of activity with CHD among men with chronic bronchitis. The present study almost certainly involved a degree of misclassification of exposure status, collateral data, and our effect modifier (bronchitis) over the follow-up period. Levels of leisure time physical activity and some of the covariate data (e.g., data on body mass index and smoking status) would have fluctuated over time, as evidenced by the low tracking coefficients reported in similar studies.42,43 Furthermore, some of the men who were bronchitis-free at study entry would, in time, have undoubtedly gone on to develop the condition. It is likely, however, that these sources of misclassification would have been random, resulting in an underestimation of the true activitymortality association.44 Finally, in all of our analyses, the number of active men with bronchitis was low; the result was low statistical power, as evidenced by wide confidence intervals. Thus, the apparent deleterious effect of physical activity observed in the present study among men with chronic bronchitis is most likely a chance finding. Although the relationship of physical activity to cause-specific mortality has been examined among individuals with preexisting disease such as type 2 diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and ischemia, our study is the first, to our knowledge, to assess this relationship among persons with bronchitis. Studies involving people with type 2 diabetes or impaired glucose tolerance,8,9 and most1417 but not all45 studies featuring men with ischemia, have shown physical activity to be cardioprotective, whereas studies involving people with increased cholesterol levels have revealed no apparent association.46 It is noteworthy that stratifying the physical activitymortality association according to the condition of interest, as we did in the present study, is uncommon; most investigators prefer to focus exclusively on the disease under examination.12,15 In conclusion, leisure time physical activity was inversely related to all-cause, CVD, and CHD mortality among male government employees without chronic bronchitis, whereas there was a suggestion of a weak positive association in the group of men with bronchitis; however, the latter association did not attain statistical significance. Given the small number of cases examined in the present study, which resulted in a low level of statistical power, the positive relationship between physical activity and mortality among individuals with chronic bronchitis should be examined in other data sets.
The original screening of participants in the Whitehall Study was funded by the Department of Health and Social Security and the Tobacco Research Council. M. J. Shipley is currently supported by the British Heart Foundation; G. D. Batty and M. G. Marmot are supported by the United Kingdom Medical Research Council. We thank a number of anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments. G. D. Batty and G. Davey Smith generated the study hypotheses. M. J. Shipley conducted the data analyses and contributed to several revisions of the article. M. G. Marmot and G. Davey Smith also contributed to revisions of the article.
Human Participant Protection
Peer Reviewed Accepted for publication December 26, 2002.
1. Batty GD. Physical activity and coronary heart disease in older adults: a systematic review of epidemiological studies. Eur J Public Health. 2002;12:171176. 2. Kohl HW III. Physical activity and cardiovascular disease: evidence for a dose response. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2001;33(suppl 6):S472S483.[Web of Science][Medline]
3. Pate RR, Pratt M, Blair SN, Haskell WL, Macera CA, Bouchard C. Physical activity and public health. JAMA. 1995;273:402407. 4. Walker KZ, Piers LS, Putt RS, Jones JA, ODea K. Effects of regular walking on cardiovascular risk factors and body composition in normoglycemic women and women with type 2 diabetes. Diabetes Care. 1999;22:555561.[Abstract] 5. Lehmann R, Vokac A, Niedermann K, Agosti K, Spinas GA. Loss of abdominal fat and improvement of the cardiovascular risk profile by regular moderate exercise training in patients with NIDDM. Diabetologia. 1995;38:13131319.[Web of Science][Medline] 6. Tran Z, Brammell H. Effects of exercise training on serum lipid and lipoprotein levels in post-MI patients: a meta-analysis. J Cardiopulmonary Rehabil. 1989;9:250255. 7. American College of Sports Medicine. Exercise for patients with coronary artery disease. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 1994;26:iv.[Medline]
8. Hu FB, Stampfer MJ, Solomon C, et al. Physical activity and risk for cardiovascular events in diabetic women. Ann Intern Med. 2001;134:96105. 9. Batty GD, Shipley MJ, Marmot M, Davey Smith G. Physical activity and cause-specific mortality in men with type 2 diabetes/impaired glucose tolerance: evidence from the Whitehall Study. Diabet Med. 2002;19:580588.[Web of Science][Medline]
10. Ford ES, DeStefano F. Risk factors for mortality from all causes and from coronary heart disease among persons with diabetes: findings from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey I Epidemiologic Follow-Up Study. Am J Epidemiol. 1991;133:12201230.
11. Saito I, Folsom AR, Brancati FL. Nontraditional risk factors for coronary heart disease incidence among persons with diabetes: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. Ann Intern Med. 2000;133:8191.
12. Wei M, Gibbons LW, Kampert JB, Nichaman MZ, Blair SN. Low cardiorespiratory fitness and physical inactivity as predictors of mortality in men with type 2 diabetes. Ann Intern Med. 2000;132:605611. 13. Kohl HW, Gordon NF, Villegas JA, Blair SN. Cardiorespiratory fitness, glycemic status, and mortality risk in men. Diabetes Care. 1992;15:184192.[Abstract] 14. Paffenbarger RJ. Physical activity as a defense against coronary heart disease. In: Connor W, Bristow J, eds. Coronary Heart Disease: Prevention, Complication and Treatment. Philadelphia, Pa: JB Lippincott Co; 1985:135156.
15. Wannamethee SG, Shaper AG, Walker M. Physical activity and mortality in older men with diagnosed coronary heart disease. Circulation. 2000;102:13581363. 16. Kitajima K, Sasaki J, Kono S, Arakawa K. Prognostic significance of daily physical activity after first acute myocardial infarction. Am Heart J. 1990;119:11931194.[Web of Science][Medline]
17. Steffen-Batey L, Nichaman MZ, Goff DC Jr, et al. Change in level of physical activity and risk of all-cause mortality or reinfarction: the Corpus Christi Heart Project. Circulation. 2000;102:22042209. 18. Chavannes N, Vollenberg JJ, van Schayck CP, Wouters EF. Effects of physical activity in mild to moderate COPD: a systematic review. Br J Gen Pract. 2002;52:574578.[Web of Science][Medline] 19. Reid DD, Hamilton PJS, McCartney P, et al. Cardiorespiratory disease and diabetes among middle-aged male civil servants. A study of screening and intervention. Lancet. 1974;1(7856):469473.[Web of Science][Medline]
20. Marmot MG, Rose G, Shipley M, Hamilton PJS. Employment grade and coronary heart disease in British civil servants. J Epidemiol Community Health. 1978;32:244249. 21. Reid DD, Hamilton PJ, McCartney P, Rose G, Jarrett RJ, Keen H. Smoking and other risk factors for coronary heart disease in British civil servants. Lancet. 1976;2(7993):979984.[Web of Science][Medline] 22. Rose GA. The diagnosis of ischaemic heart pain and intermittent claudication in field studies. Bull World Health Organ. 1962;27:645658.[Web of Science][Medline]
23. Davey Smith G, Shipley MJ, Rose G. Intermittent claudication, heart disease risk factors, and mortality: the Whitehall Study. Circulation. 1990;82:19251931. 24. Rose G, McCartney P, Reid DD. Self-administration of a questionnaire on chest pain and intermittent claudication. Br J Prev Soc Med. 1977;31:4248.[Web of Science][Medline] 25. Committee on the Aetiology of Chronic Bronchitis. Definition and classification of chronic bronchitis. Lancet. 1965;1(7389):775779.[Medline] 26. Jarrett RJ, Shipley MJ, Hunt R. Physical activity, glucose tolerance, and diabetes mellitus: the Whitehall Study. Diabet Med. 1986;3:549551.[Web of Science][Medline] 27. Rose GA, Holland WW, Crowley EA. A sphygmomanometer for epidemiologists. Lancet. 1964;1:296300. 28. Strachan D. Ventilatory function as a predictor of stroke. BMJ. 1991;302:8487. 29. Rose G, Hamilton PS, Keen H, Reid DD, McCartney P, Jarrett RJ. Myocardial ischaemia, risk factors and death from coronary heart disease. Lancet. 1977;1(8003):105109.[Web of Science][Medline]
30. Davey Smith G, Shipley MJ, Marmot MG, Rose G. Plasma cholesterol concentration and mortality. JAMA. 1992;267:7076.
31. Leon DA, Davey Smith G, Shipley M, Strachan D. Adult height and mortality in London: early life, socioeconomic confounding, or shrinkage? J Epidemiol Community Health. 1995;49:59. 32. Jarrett RJ, Shipley MJ, Rose G. Weight and mortality in the Whitehall Study. BMJ. 1982;285:535537. 33. Davey Smith G, Shipley MJ, Batty GD, Morris JN, Marmot M. Physical activity and cause-specific mortality in the Whitehall Study. Public Health. 2000;114:308315.[Web of Science][Medline] 34. Batty GD, Shipley M, Marmot M, Davey Smith G. Physical activity and cause-specific mortality in men: further evidence from the Whitehall Study. Eur J Epidemiol. 2001;17:863869.[Web of Science][Medline] 35. Cox DR. Regression models and life-tables. J Res Stat Soc. 1972;34:187220. 36. Batty GD. The Relation of Cardio-Respiratory Fitness and Physical Activity to Coronary Heart Disease, Stroke and Site-Specific Cancers: Evidence From Two Prospective Cohort Studies [thesis]. Bristol, England: University of Bristol; 2000.
37. Batty GD, Lee IM. Physical activity for preventing strokes. BMJ. 2002;325:350351. 38. Lee IM, Skerrett PJ. Physical activity and all-cause mortality: what is the dose-response relation? Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2001;33(suppl 6):S459S471.[Web of Science][Medline] 39. Allied Dunbar National Fitness Survey. London, England: Sports Council; 1992. 40. Marmot MG, Davey Smith G, Stansfield S, et al. Health inequalities among British civil servants: the Whitehall II Study. Lancet. 1991;337:13871393.[Web of Science][Medline]
41. Shaper AG, Wannamethee G. Physical activity and ischaemic heart disease in middle-aged British men. Br Heart J. 1991;66:384394.
42. Lee IM, Paffenbarger RS, Hsieh CC. Time trends in physical activity among college alumni 19621988. Am J Epidemiol. 1992;135:915925. 43. Garcia-Palmieri MR, Costas R, Cruz-Vidal M, Sorlie PD, Havlik RJ. Increased physical activity: a protective factor against heart attacks in Puerto Rico. Am J Cardiol. 1982;50:749755.[Web of Science][Medline] 44. Armstrong BK, White E, Saracci R. Principles of Exposure Measurement in Epidemiology. Oxford, England: Oxford University Press Inc; 1994. 45. Marmot M. Changing habits of the community to prevent coronary heart disease. In: Ferguson A, ed. Advanced Medicine. Bath, England: Pitman Press; 1984:139151.
46. Siscovick DS, Ekelund RG, Hyde JS, Johnson JL, Gordon DJ, LaRosa JC. Physical activity and coronary heart disease among asymptomatic hypercholesterolemic men. Am J Public Health. 1988;78:14281431. This article has been cited by other articles:
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||