© 2006 American Public Health Association DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2005.073213
Tushar Shah is with the Department of Pediatrics, Metro-health Medical Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio. Kevin Sullivan and John Carter are with the Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health at Emory University, Atlanta, Ga. Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to Kevin Sullivan, PhD, MPH, MHA, Associate Professor, Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health of Emory University, 1518 Clifton Rd NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 (e-mail: cdckms{at}sph.emory.edu).
We investigated the effect of maternal smoking during pregnancy on the relative risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) by linking data from Georgia birth and death certificates from 1997 to 2000. We estimated the effect of misclassifying smokers as non-smokers and the effect of being misclassified on SIDS rates, and we calculated the fraction of cases caused by exposure. Of all SIDS cases, 21% were attributable to maternal smoking; among smokers, 61% of SIDS cases were attributable to maternal smoking. Maternal smoking during pregnancy is associated with a significantly increased risk of SIDS.
Sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) is the sudden death of an infant aged younger than 1 year that remains unexplained after a thorough case investigation that includes an autopsy, a death scene investigation, and a review of the clinical history of the parents and the infant.1 Known risk factors for SIDS include sleeping in the prone position, being exposed to smoke pre- and postnatally, sharing a bed with a mother who smokes, hyperthermia, lack of breastfeeding, and sleeping on soft surfaces.2 Even though the rate of SIDS cases in the United States decreased by 40% from 1992 to 1999, the surgeon general reports that smoking rates during pregnancy may be as high as 22%.3 As shown by Guntheroth in low-income women,4 prenatal exposure to smoking likely means exposure to smoking during pregnancy and after pregnancy as well. According to that study, of the low-income women who smoked, most continued to smoke throughout their pregnancy; of those who quit, most returned to smoking during the pregnancy or shortly after delivery. Studies have also shown that, on birth certificates, mothers smoking status has been found to be substantially misclassified.5 Dietz et al.5 used a 2-sample capturerecapture method to estimate the completeness of recorded prenatal smoking on birth certificates in Georgia and found that whereas the reported maternal smoking from 1993 to 1995 was 13.3%, their estimate by the capturerecapture method was 20.8%. Because underreporting and misclassification of smoking status leads to a biased estimate of the smokingSIDS relationship, we linked birth and infant mortality records from the state of Georgia to examine the effect of maternal smoking during pregnancy on the frequency of SIDS cases in Georgia.
We linked birth and death certificate data obtained from the Georgia State Division of Public Health for the January 1, 1997, to December 31, 2000, birth cohort. Using reported smoking as the primary exposure and SIDS as the outcome, we investigated many variables to determine which ones were significant effect modifiers or confounders (maternal smoking, maternal education, maternal race, maternal age, maternal weight gain during pregnancy, alcohol use during pregnancy, plurality, total number of prenatal care visits, mothers number of previous fetal deaths, mothers number of previous live births now dead, parity, fathers name present on birth certificate, father education, infants sex, prematurity, infant birthweight, Apgar scores at 1 and 5). We used stratified analysis followed by logistic regression to evaluate, one at a time, each factors possible effect on the association between smoking and SIDS. We then attempted to estimate a more valid measure of association between maternal smoking and SIDS by correcting the figures we obtained for smoker misclassification on the basis of estimates from Dietz et al.5
The total number of births and deaths during the study period were 510209 and 4495, respectively. Analyses were based on 489494 birth records in which maternal smoking information was available; 81736 (9.0%) mothers reported smoking. A total of 438 SIDS cases were identified during the study period for a rate of 0.9 per 1000 live births. The rate of SIDS in infants born to mothers reported to have smoked during pregnancy was 2.4 per 1000, and the rate was 0.8 per 1000 for non-smokers (Table 1
Table 1
The prevalence of reported smoking on birth certificates was 9.0%; when we used the capturerecapture method as described by Dietz et al.,5 we estimated the proportion of women who smoked during pregnancy to be 16.5%. When we applied this rate to the adjusted odds ratio of 2.3, we estimated the true odds ratio for the smokingSIDS association (after we controlled for the previously mentioned factors and accounted for misclassification) to be 2.6, with an etiological fraction (the fraction of cases caused by exposure) in the population of 20.7% and etiological fraction in smokers of 61.3% (Table 2
Smoking was found to be an important risk factor for SIDS, with an estimated odds ratio of 2.6 after we controlled for confounders and adjusted for smoking status misclassification on birth certificates. We estimated that 20.7% of SIDS cases could have been prevented if women had not smoked during pregnancy (etiological fraction in the population). We also estimated that 61.3% of the SIDS cases in children born to women who smoked during pregnancy were a result of smoking (i.e., etiological fraction in the exposed). This study was based on birth and death certificate data. The information on maternal smoking and other maternal behaviors was self-reported, which may have led to maternal smoking misclassification. It was not possible to assess the effect of sleeping position on SIDS in this study. Given the current level of understanding of the mechanisms by which SIDS occurs, public health programs have concentrated on avoidance of modifiable risk factors. Maternal smoking during pregnancy appears to be the primary modifiable risk factor for SIDS.615
The authors thank the state of Georgia, Division of Public Health, for making the data available and for providing other information on the reporting of births and deaths in the state.
Human Participant Protection
Peer Reviewed
Contributors Accepted for publication November 8, 2005.
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