© 2007 American Public Health Association DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2006.106302
David U. Himmelstein, Karen E. Lasser, Danny McCormick, David H. Bor, and Steffie Woolhandler are with the Department of Medicine, Cambridge Health Alliance/Harvard Medical School, Cambridge, Mass. J. Wesley Boyd is with the Department of Psychiatry, Cambridge Health Alliance/ Harvard Medical School, Cambridge. Correspondence: Requests for reprints should be sent to David U. Himmelstein, MD, Department of Medicine, Cambridge Hospital/ Harvard Medical School, 1493 Cambridge St, Cambridge, MA 02139 (e-mail: david_himmelstein{at}hms.harvard.edu).
Objectives. Veterans Administration health care enrollment is restricted to veterans with service-connected problems and those who are poor. We sought to determine how many veterans were uninsured, trends in veterans coverage, and whether uninsured veterans lacked access to medical care. Methods. We analyzed annual data from 2 federal surveys, the Current Population Survey for the years 1988 to 2005 and the National Health Interview Survey for 2002 to 2004. Results. Nearly 1.8 million veterans were uninsured and not receiving Veterans Administration care in 2004. The proportion of working-age veterans lacking coverage peaked in 1993 at 14.2%, fell to 9.9% in 2000, and rose steadily to 12.7% in 2004. Uninsured veterans had substantial access problems; 51.4% had no usual source of care (vs 8.9% of insured veterans), and 26.5% reported failing to get needed care because of the cost (vs 4.3% of insured veterans). Conclusions. Many US veterans are uninsured and lack adequate access to health care. Expanded funding for veterans care is urgently needed; only national health insurance could guarantee coverage to both veterans and their family members.
As clinicians at an urban public hospital, we often care for uninsured patients. Recently, we noted that several patients without coverage were combat veterans. We were surprised. We, and most colleagues with whom we conferred, assumed that all veterans qualify for care at Veterans Health Administration (VA) hospitals and clinics. In fact, only a minority of veterans—those disabled by military service—are automatically eligible for VA care. The Veterans Eligibility Reform Act of 1996 opened VA enrollment to all veterans, although non-poor veterans were required to make co-payments of up to $50 per day for outpatient care. (Poor is defined by assets and an income threshold that varies with location and family size. In general, veterans earning more than $30 000 per year are not eligible for free care.) However, a July 18, 2002, memo from the deputy undersecretary for health for operations and management ordered VA regional directors to "ensure that no marketing activities to enroll new veterans occur," citing "demand for healthcare that exceeds our resources" and "very conservative OMB [Office of Management and Budget] budget guidelines."1 Subsequently, the secretary of veterans affairs ordered a halt to the enrollment of most nonpoor veterans as of January 17, 2003.2 We found scant data on uninsured veterans. Several studies identified the safety net function of VA care,3,4 looked at uninsured veterans in a single state,5 or offered limited data for a single year.6 An Internet posting by VA analysts offered some data on the number of uninsured veterans.7 Our encounters with uninsured veterans led us to explore 3 questions: are many veterans uninsured? Do uninsured veterans suffer problems in access to care similar to others who are uninsured? Is this a new problem?
Data Sources We analyzed data from 2 national surveys conducted annually by federal agencies. For data on insurance status and demographic characteristics, we analyzed the annual March Supplement (recently renamed the Annual Social and Economics Supplement) to the Current Population Survey (CPS), which collects current demographic information and data about health insurance in the previous calendar year. The CPS first collected comprehensive information on health coverage in 1988. Conducted by the Census Bureau in multiple languages, the survey includes a large sample (232 865 in 2005) representative of the US civilian noninstitutionalized population. We considered persons to be uninsured if they reported neither public nor private insurance and denied that they had "CHAMPUS, veterans, or military health care." (CHAMPUS [the Civilian Health and Medical Program of the Uniformed Services] is an insurance program for some active-duty and retired military personnel). To construct a time series from 1987, we analyzed veterans health coverage with the insurance definitions and population weights used by the Census Bureau.8 The CPS included no questions on access to care and only a single question on health status ("Would you say that your health in general is excellent, very good, good, fair, or poor?"). Therefore, we supplemented our CPS analyses with data from the 2002 to 2004 National Health Interview Surveys (NHIS). The NHIS, conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics, interviewed 36 579 households in 2004, yielding demographic, health insurance, and some general health information on 94 460 persons. A more detailed set of health questions was asked of 31 326 adults. The 2002 and 2003 NHIS samples were of similar size. Because the NHIS samples were smaller than those of the CPS, we preferentially reported CPS results for variables that were available from both surveys. The NHIS enumerates veterans only if they were honorably discharged from the military, thus identifying slightly fewer veterans than did the CPS. The CPS and NHIS define health insurance similarly, although the NHIS includes more detail on military and VA health care coverage. The CPS and NHIS provide weights that allowed for extrapolation of the surveys data to the entire US population.
Data Analysis We used multiple logistic regression on the 2005 CPS data to assess whether veteran status was protective against being uninsured in 2004 after we controlled for demographic covariates; we report CIs that were not adjusted for clustering. We doubt that these approximations introduced major errors. Generally, for large samples, adjustment for clustering widens the CIs only modestly. The odds ratios (ORs) that we report as statistically significant would remain so even if the CIs were increased 2 to 3 times. For the multivariate model, we excluded persons younger than 18 years (none of whom were veterans) and persons older than 64 years (few of whom were uninsured, because of their eligibility for Medicare). We designated the probability of being uninsured as the dependent variable. Our a priori assumptions about policy-relevant predictors of health insurance coverage led us to include the following independent variables in the model: veteran status, family income below 200% of the federally defined poverty level, being older than 44 years, gender, having a job, educational attainment higher than high school graduation, and being a non-Hispanic White. We tested the model for interactions between veteran status and other independent variables; only male gender showed an interaction. Therefore, we also analyzed models stratified by veteran status. We repeated the logistic regression analysis on the 2001 CPS (for calendar year 2000, when the number of uninsured veterans was at its all-time low) to examine recent time trends.
Characteristics of Uninsured Veterans In 2004, 1768377 US veterans had no health insurance and were not receiving ongoing VA care, representing 4.7% of all uninsured adults. Among all veterans, 7.7% were uninsured, including 12.7% of those older than 65 years. An additional 3.82 million members of veterans households were uninsured. Thus, 12.2% of uninsured Americans were veterans or members of their households. Among the 7.56 million Vietnamera veterans, 645 628 (8.5%) lacked health insurance. Virtually all veterans of the Korean War and World War II eras were insured by Medicare, as was expected given their advanced age. Of the 8.60 million veterans of other eras (including the Gulf wars), 1 105 891 (12.9%) were uninsured.
Table 1
In a multivariate analysis of nonelderly adults in the 2005 CPS (Table 2
Data from the 2004 NHIS, which included more detail on military and VA coverage than did the CPS, showed that 7.2% of honorably discharged veterans were uninsured. An additional 7.8% of veterans reported receiving VA care, nearly half of whom (3.3% of veterans, 738000 people) had no other coverage.
We used the NHIS data to explore access to care during the past year for uninsured veterans aged 18 to 64 years and compared their access to that of insured veterans and uninsured nonveterans in the same age group. Because analyses of the NHIS data for 2002, 2003, and 2004 yielded virtually identical findings, we reported only the 2004 results (Table 3
Uninsured veterans fared no better than other uninsured Americans on most measures of access and had markedly worse access than did insured veterans. For instance, 26.5% of uninsured veterans reported needing but not getting care because of costs versus 22.1% of other uninsured Americans and only 4.3% of insured veterans. Nearly half (49.1%) of uninsured veterans had no office visit within the past year, compared with 45.5% of other uninsured Americans and only 15.5% of insured veterans. Preventive care use was low for all respondents. Approximately two thirds (66.4%) of uninsured veterans said they did not receive preventive care anywhere versus 69.8% of other uninsured Americans and 51.8% of insured veterans. Veterans who reported VA care but no other coverage were similar to insured veterans in their utilization of care (data not shown), although they were sicker, poorer, and slightly more likely to report unmet medical needs than insured veterans.
Trends in Uninsured Rates
Relative to other working-age adults (and in absolute terms), veterans coverage improved between 1993 and 2000. Before 1993 and after 2000, uninsured rates for the 2 groups moved in tandem, although veterans rates remained lower. In logistic regression models derived from 2001 CPS data (for health insurance in 2000), veteran status was somewhat more protective against being uninsured (OR = 0.519; CI = 0.476, 0.562) than in 2004 when the OR was 0.621, confirming that veterans coverage advantage has declined in recent years.
Our analysis indicates that 1.8 million veterans are uninsured. Like the other 45 million uninsured persons in the United States, uninsured veterans forgo needed doctor visits, preventive care, medications, and other services. The lack of health insurance among veterans, although long standing, appears to be worsening. Despite a shrinking population of working-age veterans, the number who were uninsured increased by nearly 300 000 between 2000 and 2004. Several factors may have caused this increase. A ban on marketing VA services to new enrollees in 2002, followed by the narrowing of eligibility for VA care in early 2003, may be partially responsible. However, populationwide trends (e.g., the erosion of employment-based coverage since 2000)8 probably contributed. Conversely, the dip in the number of uninsured veterans during the late 1990s coincided with both an economic boom and an expansion of VA eligibility under the Veterans Eligibility Reform Act of 1996. Several caveats apply to our findings. First, some veterans may have misunderstood questions in the CPS and failed to report that they were receiving VA health services. If so, our CPS-based analysis would overstate the number of uninsured veterans. However, the NHIS included much more detailed questions about military and veteran health care and yielded only slightly lower estimates of the number of uninsured veterans than those of the CPS. Even this slight discrepancy probably reflects the fact that only honorably discharged veterans were classified as veterans in the NHIS, whereas all veterans were included in the CPS definition. Because both surveys were household based, veterans who were homeless (approximately 200000),9 incarcerated (approximately 225000),9 or institutionalized at the time of the survey were excluded. Veterans whom we classified as uninsured reported as many problems in access to care as did other uninsured individuals, indicating that these veterans were functionally uninsured. Small year-to-year changes in the number of uninsured veterans in the CPS should be interpreted cautiously because the Census Bureaus data collection methods underwent several minor revisions. In the 1993 CPS and 2003 CPS (data years 1992 and 2002, respectively) the population weights were readjusted to reflect unanticipated population shifts discovered in the 1990 and 2000 censuses. Although these adjustments modestly affected the year-to-year changes, they should not have distorted longer-term trends or findings in the most recent years. In 1993, computer-assisted interviewing replaced pencil-and-paper methods. The Census Bureau shifted its definitions of health insurance slightly, including a redesign of the health insurance questionnaire in 1995 and the decision in 1998 to begin classifying individuals reporting only Indian Health Service coverage as uninsured. These definitional changes had opposite and negligible effects on estimates of the total number of uninsured persons. Although the precise number of uninsured veterans and the exact magnitude of the recent upswing are uncertain, it is clear that many veterans are uninsured and that their numbers are increasing. This is particularly worrisome because the influx of casualties from current conflicts may further strain VA resources. Addressing the problem of uninsured veterans by expanding VA eligibility is, in some respects, attractive. The VA appears to offer more-equitable care10 of equivalent11 or higher quality12–14 compared with that of private sector alternatives. However, massive capital investments in new VA facilities would be needed to provide care for uninsured veterans, many of whom live far from existing VA facilities. Creating VA capacity throughout the nation would, in many cases, entail the unnecessary duplication of existing nonfederal hospitals and clinics. Moreover, even such a massive VA expansion would still leave millions of veterans family members uncovered. The predicament of uninsured veterans is typical of the health care dilemma facing many working families. Like other uninsured adults, most uninsured veterans are low- to middle-income workers who may be too poor to afford private coverage but are not poor enough to qualify for Medicaid or free VA care. The VA provides a safety net for some of the mostly male veteran population and accounts for much of the advantage in insurance coverage that veterans enjoy compared with nonveterans. As with the safety net programs that predominantly enroll women and children (Medicaid and sCHIP [State Childrens Health Insurance Program]),15 however, many fall through the gaps. The disturbing scene of returning soldiers left without care is a stark reminder that the United States is a nation bound by mutual obligations and shared responsibility. We owe veterans care not because they can pay for it nor because they are heroes but—as their sacrifices remind us—because members of a society are obligated to serve and protect each other.
This study was carried out on a volunteer basis without funding. None of the authors are employed by or receive funding from the Veterans Health Administration or the Department of Defense.
Human Participant Protection
Peer Reviewed
Contributors Accepted for publication March 11, 2007.
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